OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Gillingham 1.00 1 - 4 0.20 Grimsby
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.0%46%+1.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.0%78%-2.8%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.0%63%-2.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.5%50%+3.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 51.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.2%27.3%38.5%
xgboost28.5%27.4%44.1%
logistic23.9%28.0%48.1%
Inputs the models saw
GillinghamGrimsby
Elo (pre-match)14021456
Surface Elo14021456
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.20
Form trend-0.10-0.20
Season points per game1.421.17
Season goals for / game1.421.25
Season goals against / game1.171.25
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 3 D
Gillingham: last 5
20 OctHPort Vale1 - 1D
20 OctHPort Vale1 - 1D
17 OctAAccrington1 - 3L
17 OctAAccrington1 - 3L
13 OctHBrighton & Hove Albion U214 - 3W
Grimsby: last 5
20 OctARochdale2 - 2D
20 OctARochdale2 - 2D
17 OctHNorthampton0 - 2L
17 OctHNorthampton0 - 2L
10 OctAPort Vale0 - 1L
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Gillingham1 - 4Grimsby
18 Oct 2025Grimsby1 - 0Gillingham
28 Jan 2025Grimsby1 - 1Gillingham
01 Oct 2024Gillingham0 - 1Grimsby
16 Mar 2024Gillingham1 - 1Grimsby
02 Sep 2023Grimsby2 - 0Gillingham
14 Feb 2023Gillingham2 - 1Grimsby
13 Sep 2022Grimsby1 - 1Gillingham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.0548.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.4029.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8354.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0349.3%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.2031.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7856.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC