| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.9% | 73% | -13.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Alexander Zverev | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2191 | 2101 |
| Surface Elo | 2191 | 2101 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 7 W 路 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Juncheng Shang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Juncheng Shang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Rohan Murali | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Bu Yunchaokete | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 26 May 2025 | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 13 Jan 2025 | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 0 | Novak Djokovic |
| 14 Aug 2023 | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 15 Nov 2021 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | Novak Djokovic |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 24 Jul 2021 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | Novak Djokovic |
| 08 Feb 2021 | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 02 Feb 2021 | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 16 Nov 2020 | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.38 | 72.5% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.23 | 31.0% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.30 | 30.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.42 | 70.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.00 | 33.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.35 | 74.1% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.10 | 32.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.44 | 69.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.25 | 30.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alexander Zverev | 1.45 | 69.0% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Novak Djokovic | 3.30 | 30.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.42 | 70.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.00 | 33.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.35 | 74.1% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.15 | 31.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.37 | 73.0% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.10 | 32.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.34 | 74.6% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.32 | 30.1% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.32 | 75.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.35 | 29.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.35 | 74.1% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.18 | 31.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.44 | 69.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.25 | 30.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alexander Zverev | 1.45 | 69.0% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Novak Djokovic | 3.30 | 30.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.35 | 74.1% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.15 | 31.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.42 | 70.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.06 | 32.7% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.28 | 78.1% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.20 | 31.2% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.30 | 76.9% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.20 | 31.2% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.32 | 75.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.10 | 32.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.32 | 75.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.35 | 29.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.32 | 75.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.35 | 29.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.30 | 30.3% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.41 | 70.9% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 3.05 | 32.8% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alexander Zverev | 1.40 | 71.4% | 04 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Novak Djokovic | 2.95 | 33.9% | 04 Oct 06:01 |