| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 81.3% | 85% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 80.8% | 19.1% |
| logistic | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Mintegi Del Olmo, Ane | Tichackova, E | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1641 | 1586 |
| Surface Elo | 1641 | 1586 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.77 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.85 | 1.58 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 18 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Rudiukova, Nina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Giorgia Pedone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Zeltina, B | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Rebeka Masarova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Mazzola, Alessandra | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Lia Karatancheva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Beatris Spasova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |