OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Sunday 11 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Motherwell 0.80 0 - 2 2.40 Celtic
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.6%61%-5.7%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 80.6%83%-2.7%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 73.5%78%-4.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.2%68%-10.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson20.9%23.2%55.9%
xgboost21.2%20.7%58.1%
logistic18.5%23.0%58.5%
Inputs the models saw
MotherwellCeltic
Elo (pre-match)16781904
Surface Elo16781904
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.802.40
Form trend0.500.60
Season points per game0.000.00
Season goals for / game1.000.00
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W8 W · 1 D
Motherwell: last 5
26 SepABonnyrigg Rose0 - 3L
19 SepADundee1 - 2L
19 SepADundee1 - 2L
15 SepHAberdeen0 - 4L
05 SepARangers0 - 1L
Celtic: last 5
26 SepAClachnacuddin FC3 - 3D
22 SepAEast Kilbride3 - 3D
20 SepHRangers0 - 1L
20 SepHRangers0 - 1L
09 SepASt Johnstone1 - 0W
Head to head
13 May 2026Motherwell2 - 3Celtic
14 Mar 2026Celtic3 - 1Motherwell
30 Dec 2025Motherwell2 - 0Celtic
05 Oct 2025Celtic3 - 2Motherwell
02 Feb 2025Motherwell1 - 3Celtic
26 Dec 2024Celtic4 - 0Motherwell
27 Oct 2024Motherwell0 - 3Celtic
25 Feb 2024Motherwell1 - 3Celtic
25 Nov 2023Celtic1 - 1Motherwell
30 Sep 2023Motherwell1 - 2Celtic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6361.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5621.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.8620.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4867.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC