| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.1% | 38% | +19.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.1% | 32.2% |
| xgboost | 32.3% | 67.2% |
| logistic | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Dallas Stars | St. Louis Blues | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1548 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1548 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 155 | 169 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Apr | A | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 5 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Apr | A | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 3 | W |
| 21 Apr | H | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 2 | W |
| 16 Apr | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 5 - 3 | W |
| 15 Apr | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 - 5 | W |
| 14 Apr | H | Minnesota Wild | 6 - 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 3 | W |
| 10 Apr | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Feb 2026 | Dallas Stars | 5 - 4 | St. Louis Blues |
| 28 Jan 2026 | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 2 | St. Louis Blues |
| 18 Oct 2025 | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 1 | Dallas Stars |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Dallas Stars | 6 - 3 | St. Louis Blues |
| 26 Jan 2025 | St. Louis Blues | 0 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | St. Louis Blues |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 02 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.62 | 38.2% | 02 Oct 19:20 |