| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.5% | 43% | +3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.6% | 74% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.1% | 59% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 48% | +4.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.3% | 26.2% | 27.5% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 26.2% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 27.7% | 31.9% |
| Venezia | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Como | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Como | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Inter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Inter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Roma | 2 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Roma | 2 - 5 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Parma | 0 - 0 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Parma | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Ac Milan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Udinese | 3 - 2 | Venezia |
| 30 Oct 2024 | Venezia | 3 - 2 | Udinese |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Venezia | 1 - 2 | Udinese |
| 27 Aug 2021 | Udinese | 3 - 0 | Venezia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.56 | 28.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.34 | 42.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |