| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.0% | 43% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 79% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.6% | 58% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 49% | +5.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.3% | 26.6% | 37.1% |
| xgboost | 41.1% | 23.7% | 35.2% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 27.4% | 37.2% |
| Peterhead | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1361 | 1401 |
| Surface Elo | 1361 | 1401 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 8 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Queen of the South FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Queen of Sth | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Hamilton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Elgin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Formartine United | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | East Fife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | East Fife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Queen of the South FC | 3 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Queen of Sth | 3 - 4 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cove Rangers | 3 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 07 Mar 2026 | Cove Rangers | 2 - 1 | Peterhead |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Peterhead | 0 - 4 | Cove Rangers |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Cove Rangers | 1 - 2 | Peterhead |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Peterhead | 3 - 1 | Cove Rangers |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Cove Rangers | 5 - 2 | Peterhead |
| 02 Jan 2022 | Peterhead | 0 - 1 | Cove Rangers |
| 13 Nov 2021 | Cove Rangers | 3 - 0 | Peterhead |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Peterhead | 0 - 1 | Cove Rangers |
| 02 Jan 2021 | Cove Rangers | 1 - 0 | Peterhead |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |