| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 40.4% | 48% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 75% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.8% | 65% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 56% | +1.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.7% | 28.1% | 40.2% |
| xgboost | 33.3% | 28.2% | 38.5% |
| logistic | 37.5% | 26.6% | 35.8% |
| AZ Alkmaar | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1617 | 1765 |
| Surface Elo | 1617 | 1765 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Ajax | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ajax | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Twente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Twente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Napoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Napoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lecce | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.12 | 47.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.77 | 26.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.54 | 28.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.79 | 55.9% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 05 Nov 06:15 |