| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.1% | 74% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| logistic | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Clara Tauson | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1557 | 1730 |
| Surface Elo | 1557 | 1730 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Diane Parry | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Maja Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Clara Tauson | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Kimberly Birrell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Clara Tauson | 0 - 1 | Marie Bouzkova |
| 13 Sep 2021 | Clara Tauson | 2 - 0 | Marie Bouzkova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |