| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.9% | 41% | +11.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.7% | 39.2% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Alex Hernandez | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1424 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1424 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Dorokhov, Ivan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Felipe De Dios | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Gray Voelzke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Miles Clark | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Ryan Fishback | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Bini, Victor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Tadeo Meneo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |