| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.6% | 70% | -8.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| logistic | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Kaylan Bigun | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1461 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1461 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Zahraj | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | Kaylan Bigun |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 22 Oct 06:15 |