| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.5% | 88% | -21.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 89.3% | 100% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 84.7% | 100% | -15.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 31% | +19.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 77.0% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| xgboost | 81.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% |
| logistic | 81.4% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| Rangers | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1840 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1840 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 2.29 | 0.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 2.14 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Queen of the South FC | 2 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Clyde | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Celtic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Celtic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Sep | H | St Mirren | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Hamilton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Dumbarton | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Hearts | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Heart of Midlothian FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | A | Hibernian | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Feb 2026 | Rangers | 5 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Kilmarnock | 0 - 3 | Rangers |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Rangers | 3 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Kilmarnock | 2 - 4 | Rangers |
| 04 Dec 2024 | Rangers | 6 - 0 | Kilmarnock |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 0 | Rangers |
| 05 May 2024 | Rangers | 4 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 28 Feb 2024 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 2 | Rangers |
| 02 Jan 2024 | Rangers | 3 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 05 Aug 2023 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 0 | Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 19.00 | 5.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 8.50 | 11.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 16.79 | 6.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 8.69 | 11.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |