| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.3% | 51% | +10.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.8% | 38.1% |
| logistic | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| Adrian Mannarino | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1868 | 1689 |
| Surface Elo | 1868 | 1689 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Simonsson, Jan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Nuno Borges | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Karl Friberg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Lukas Pokorny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Lukas Pokorny | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |