| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.8% | 78% | -14.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | Benjamin Torrealba | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1439 | 1393 |
| Surface Elo | 1439 | 1393 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 195 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Samuel Heredia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Samuel Heredia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Nicolas Zanellato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Johan Nikles | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Mar | H | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Mar | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jan | H | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 04 Oct 06:15 |