OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-03
🎾 ITF M25 Kigali · Saturday 03 October 2026, 10:00 UTC · finished
Max Houkes 1.80 1 - 2 1.80 Benjamin Lock
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 70.8%93%-21.8%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov53.7%46.3%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost89.7%10.2%
logistic60.2%39.8%
Inputs the models saw
Max HoukesBenjamin Lock
Elo (pre-match)16221479
Surface Elo16221479
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend-0.60-0.30
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game2.002.00
Season goals against / game0.000.00
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Max Houkes: last 5
02 OctHAlec Beckley2 - 1W
01 OctHAllan Gatoto2 - 0W
30 SepHDarrshan Suresh2 - 0W
10 AugAJan Kumstat0 - 2L
10 AugHSumit Nagal2 - 0W
Benjamin Lock: last 5
02 OctAManuel Plunger2 - 0W
30 SepHRafael De Alba2 - 0W
25 NovHRemy Bertola1 - 2L
11 NovHJuan Carlos Aguilar0 - 2L
11 NovHMatthias Uwe Kask2 - 0W
Head to head
No previous meetings in our data.
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away6.5015.4%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.0892.6%03 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC