| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 84.5% | 81% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 74.9% | 25.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.8% | 20.1% |
| logistic | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Mattia Bellucci | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1821 | 1610 |
| Surface Elo | 1821 | 1610 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Arthur Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Arthur Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Norbert Gombos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Ozan Baris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |