| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.3% | 87% | -13.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 14.5% | 85.5% |
| logistic | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1439 | 1637 |
| Surface Elo | 1439 | 1637 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Sandro Kopp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Laslo Djere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Valerio Aboian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Maximo Zeitune | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | Pedro Martinez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.10 | 90.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.30 | 15.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |