OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · abandoned
Northampton 1.00 14:00 0.20 Oldham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.0%38%+9.3%abandoned
DCHome or away 73.7%75%-1.1%abandoned
DNBAway (DNB) 61.7%54%+7.7%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.3%50%+2.3%abandoned
BTTSBTTS no 51.9%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson30.3%30.2%39.5%
xgboost34.2%21.1%44.6%
logistic27.1%28.7%44.2%
Inputs the models saw
NorthamptonOldham
Elo (pre-match)12791414
Surface Elo12791414
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.20
Form trend0.300.20
Season points per game0.000.00
Season goals for / game0.000.50
Season goals against / game1.003.00
Rest days146
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W1 W · 2 D
Northampton: last 5
19 SepHRotherham0 - 1L
19 SepHRotherham0 - 1L
12 SepAShrewsbury0 - 2L
05 SepHNewport County1 - 0W
01 SepHCrawley Town1 - 1D
Oldham: last 5
26 SepHSalford1 - 4L
26 SepHSalford1 - 4L
22 SepHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
19 SepARochdale0 - 2L
19 SepARochdale0 - 2L
Head to head
15 Apr 2022Oldham0 - 2Northampton
23 Nov 2021Northampton2 - 1Oldham
02 Nov 2019Oldham2 - 2Northampton
04 May 2019Oldham2 - 5Northampton
27 Oct 2018Northampton2 - 1Oldham
05 May 2018Northampton2 - 2Oldham
09 Dec 2017Oldham5 - 1Northampton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6537.7%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.1032.3%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7037.0%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7557.1%03 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:19 UTC