| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.8% | 43% | +2.4% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.6% | 74% | +1.8% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.6% | 61% | +1.8% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 58% | -4.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.6% | 27.8% | 26.5% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 35.4% | 23.9% |
| logistic | 41.0% | 30.4% | 28.5% |
| Sudtirol | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1411 | 1403 |
| Surface Elo | 1411 | 1403 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Padova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Padova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Lazio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Sampdoria Genoa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Sampdoria | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Empoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Empoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Modena | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Modena | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Avellino | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Cesena | 1 - 1 | Sudtirol |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sudtirol | 0 - 1 | Cesena |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Sudtirol | 1 - 1 | Cesena |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Cesena | 1 - 0 | Sudtirol |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.72 | 58.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |