| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.1% | 71% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.2% | 67.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.8% | 76.1% |
| logistic | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Borna Gojo | Ugo Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1785 | 1802 |
| Surface Elo | 1785 | 1802 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tom Paris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Matteo Berrettini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Matteo Berrettini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |