| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.5% | 68% | -13.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| logistic | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Jan Lennard Struff | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1830 | 1900 |
| Surface Elo | 1830 | 1900 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Marcos Giron | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | 0 - 2 | Zizou Bergs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |