| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 63% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.5% | 88% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.3% | 82% | -9.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 56% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.8% | 26.8% | 25.4% |
| xgboost | 58.8% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| logistic | 57.5% | 25.4% | 17.2% |
| Pisa | Sudtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1408 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1408 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Avellino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Avellino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Bari | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Palermo | 3 - 3 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Palermo | 3 - 3 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Cesena | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Cesena | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | A | Padova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Padova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Lazio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 May 2025 | Pisa | 3 - 3 | Sudtirol |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Sudtirol | 1 - 2 | Pisa |
| 05 May 2024 | Pisa | 2 - 2 | Sudtirol |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Sudtirol | 1 - 2 | Pisa |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Pisa | 0 - 1 | Sudtirol |
| 04 Sep 2022 | Sudtirol | 2 - 1 | Pisa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.40 | 18.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |