| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 62% | -8.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.7% | 52.2% |
| logistic | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1560 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1560 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 4 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Ivan Ivanov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dusan Obradovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Adrian Andreev | 1 - 0 | Izan Almazan Valiente |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 0 | Izan Almazan Valiente |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |