OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
West Brom 1.40 3 - 2 2.00 Blackburn
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.5%51%-2.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 75.0%79%-4.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.9%70%-6.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 57.4%55%+2.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 53.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.3%30.4%26.2%
xgboost45.2%25.5%29.3%
logistic43.6%29.5%26.9%
Inputs the models saw
West BromBlackburn
Elo (pre-match)15461539
Surface Elo15461539
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.00
Form trend0.10-0.60
Season points per game1.002.33
Season goals for / game0.671.67
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
West Brom: last 5
13 OctAWrexham2 - 1W
13 OctAWrexham2 - 1W
13 OctASutton2 - 3L
10 OctHBirmingham0 - 1L
10 OctHBirmingham0 - 1L
Blackburn: last 5
13 OctABristol City1 - 0W
13 OctABristol City1 - 0W
12 OctHBolton3 - 3D
10 OctHCardiff2 - 1W
10 OctHCardiff2 - 1W
Head to head
06 Apr 2026Blackburn0 - 0West Brom
09 Aug 2025West Brom1 - 0Blackburn
12 Feb 2025West Brom0 - 2Blackburn
23 Oct 2024Blackburn0 - 0West Brom
13 Jan 2024West Brom4 - 1Blackburn
05 Aug 2023Blackburn2 - 1West Brom
15 Feb 2023West Brom1 - 1Blackburn
14 Aug 2022Blackburn2 - 1West Brom
14 Feb 2022West Brom0 - 0Blackburn
21 Aug 2021Blackburn1 - 2West Brom
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.0924.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6327.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9651.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8354.6%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:19 UTC