| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.7% | 92% | -13.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 81.3% | 18.6% |
| logistic | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Alexander Zverev | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2184 | 1884 |
| Surface Elo | 2184 | 1884 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 18 | 46 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 8 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Rohan Murali | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Ben Shelton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Karen Khachanov | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Sep | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Luciano Darderi | 3 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Aug | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | Cameron Norrie |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 1 | Cameron Norrie |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Alexander Zverev | 3 - 2 | Cameron Norrie |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 05 Aug 2019 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| 25 Feb 2019 | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 0 | Cameron Norrie |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.40 | 13.5% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.11 | 90.1% | 30 Sep 06:15 |