OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-15

NFL · Sunday 15 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · scheduled

Indianapolis Colts – 18:00 – Miami Dolphins

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	60.0%	66%	-6.2%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	60.0%	40.0%

Inputs the models saw

	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.01
form diff	0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	0.24
opponent strength diff	-0.03
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-12T21:22:00.580175+00:00

Indianapolis Colts: last 5

08 Nov	H	Dallas Cowboys	23 - 27	L
01 Nov	A	Jacksonville Jaguars	7 - 42	L
25 Oct	A	Minnesota Vikings	10 - 16	L
18 Oct	H	Tennessee Titans	20 - 26	L
11 Oct	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	22 - 34	L

Miami Dolphins: last 5

08 Nov	H	Detroit Lions	9 - 19	L
01 Nov	H	New England Patriots	19 - 24	L
25 Oct	A	New York Jets	28 - 25	W
11 Oct	H	Cincinnati Bengals	24 - 31	L
04 Oct	A	Minnesota Vikings	10 - 15	L

Head to head

07 Sep 2025	Indianapolis Colts	33 - 8	Miami Dolphins
20 Oct 2024	Indianapolis Colts	16 - 10	Miami Dolphins
03 Oct 2021	Miami Dolphins	17 - 27	Indianapolis Colts
10 Nov 2019	Indianapolis Colts	12 - 16	Miami Dolphins
25 Nov 2018	Indianapolis Colts	27 - 24	Miami Dolphins
27 Dec 2015	Miami Dolphins	12 - 18	Indianapolis Colts
15 Sep 2013	Indianapolis Colts	20 - 24	Miami Dolphins
04 Nov 2012	Indianapolis Colts	23 - 20	Miami Dolphins
22 Sep 2009	Miami Dolphins	23 - 27	Indianapolis Colts
31 Dec 2006	Indianapolis Colts	27 - 22	Miami Dolphins

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.51	66.2%	12 Nov 17:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.72	36.8%	12 Nov 17:20

Generated 2026-11-12 21:51 UTC