| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.2% | 58% | -6.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 83% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.4% | 76% | -10.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 65% | +6.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 26.9% | 25.7% |
| xgboost | 45.4% | 23.5% | 31.1% |
| logistic | 44.8% | 28.6% | 26.6% |
| Blackpool | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 17 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Wigan | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Bromley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Reading | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Mar 2021 | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | Crewe |
| 17 Oct 2020 | Crewe | 1 - 1 | Blackpool |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.54 | 64.9% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |