| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.5% | 45% | +3.7% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 78% | -3.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.9% | 60% | +3.8% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 61% | -1.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.4% | 24.1% | 31.5% |
| xgboost | 47.9% | 28.7% | 23.5% |
| logistic | 46.4% | 27.5% | 26.1% |
| Zwolle | Den Haag | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1364 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1364 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | TOP Oss | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Utrecht | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Utrecht | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Excelsior | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | PSV Eindhoven | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | PSV Eindhoven | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 May 2021 | Zwolle | 0 - 1 | Den Haag |
| 23 Dec 2020 | Den Haag | 0 - 2 | Zwolle |
| 20 Oct 2019 | Zwolle | 3 - 1 | Den Haag |
| 15 Feb 2019 | Den Haag | 1 - 0 | Zwolle |
| 24 Nov 2018 | Zwolle | 2 - 3 | Den Haag |
| 22 Dec 2017 | Den Haag | 4 - 0 | Zwolle |
| 28 Oct 2017 | Zwolle | 2 - 0 | Den Haag |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.98 | 33.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.23 | 44.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |