OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
Go Ahead Eagles 1.20 3 - 3 0.40 Sparta Rotterdam
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.7%55%-2.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.7%80%-3.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 67.3%72%-4.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.2%70%-11.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson53.3%23.5%23.2%
xgboost48.5%22.0%29.5%
logistic46.9%28.7%24.4%
Inputs the models saw
Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
Elo (pre-match)15451479
Surface Elo15451479
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.40
Form trend0.300.20
Season points per game1.000.00
Season goals for / game1.000.00
Season goals against / game1.004.00
Rest days1920
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Go Ahead Eagles: last 5
20 SepANijmegen1 - 1D
20 SepANijmegen1 - 1D
12 SepHGroningen1 - 1D
08 SepAUtrecht3 - 3D
29 AugAAZ Alkmaar2 - 5L
Sparta Rotterdam: last 5
03 OctABVV Barendrecht2 - 3L
26 SepHHoek3 - 0W
19 SepHHeerenveen0 - 4L
19 SepHHeerenveen0 - 4L
19 SepASV Spakenburg1 - 1D
Head to head
03 May 2026Sparta Rotterdam2 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
23 Aug 2025Go Ahead Eagles0 - 3Sparta Rotterdam
14 Feb 2025Go Ahead Eagles1 - 0Sparta Rotterdam
15 Sep 2024Sparta Rotterdam1 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
21 Jan 2024Sparta Rotterdam0 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
22 Oct 2023Go Ahead Eagles0 - 0Sparta Rotterdam
12 Feb 2023Sparta Rotterdam2 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
27 Aug 2022Go Ahead Eagles0 - 1Sparta Rotterdam
12 Mar 2022Sparta Rotterdam1 - 0Go Ahead Eagles
28 Aug 2021Go Ahead Eagles2 - 0Sparta Rotterdam
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.1024.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.2023.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8254.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4270.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9533.9%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC