| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.2% | 41% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 77% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.8% | 57% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 50% | +4.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.1% | 27.7% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 27.3% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 40.8% | 28.7% | 30.5% |
| Kasimpasa | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 2.14 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Konyaspor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Genclerbirligi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | H | Amedspor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Trabzonspor | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Trabzonspor | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Erzurumspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Erzurumspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Corum | 1 - 5 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Kasimpasa | 0 - 1 | Samsunspor |
| 17 Sep 2025 | Samsunspor | 0 - 0 | Kasimpasa |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Samsunspor | 0 - 2 | Kasimpasa |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Kasimpasa | 1 - 4 | Samsunspor |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Kasimpasa | 1 - 0 | Samsunspor |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Samsunspor | 4 - 2 | Kasimpasa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 18 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 18 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 18 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 18 Oct 11:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 18 Oct 11:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.99 | 33.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.48 | 28.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |