| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.9% | 75% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.5% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Laura Samson | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1562 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1562 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.93 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Sofia Costoulas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Carolina Alves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Carole Monnet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Yuliana Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Alice Tubello | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Julia Grabher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Yuliana Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Luisina Giovannini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Elvina Kalieva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Viktoria Morvayova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.15 | 31.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |