| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.0% | 46% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.7% | 76% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.0% | 63% | -6.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 53% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.1% | 24.7% | 40.2% |
| xgboost | 29.5% | 25.7% | 44.7% |
| logistic | 32.1% | 29.3% | 38.6% |
| Wrexham | Wolverhampton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1613 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1613 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Middlesbrough | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackburn | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Scunthorpe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Cardiff | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Cardiff | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 07 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 07 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 07 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 07 Nov 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.23 | 44.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.47 | 28.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |