| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 60% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Matej Dodig | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1716 | 1707 |
| Surface Elo | 1716 | 1707 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 29 | 29 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Andrea Pellegrino | 1 - 2 | Matej Dodig |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 06 Oct 06:15 |