OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
St Johnstone 1.00 2 - 2 0.00 Motherwell
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 42.0%40%+2.1%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.6%78%-3.1%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 53.2%55%-1.3%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.2%54%+2.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson30.0%27.4%42.6%
xgboost41.6%26.6%31.8%
logistic40.1%28.5%31.4%
Inputs the models saw
St JohnstoneMotherwell
Elo (pre-match)16741640
Surface Elo16741640
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.00
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.200.80
Season goals for / game1.101.10
Season goals against / game1.501.80
Rest days43
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
St Johnstone: last 5
24 OctARangers0 - 4L
24 OctARangers0 - 4L
17 OctHDundee United1 - 1D
17 OctHDundee United1 - 1D
11 OctAAberdeen1 - 0W
Motherwell: last 5
25 OctHHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 2L
25 OctHHearts0 - 2L
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
11 OctHCeltic0 - 2L
Head to head
26 Apr 2025Motherwell3 - 2St Johnstone
25 Jan 2025St Johnstone2 - 1Motherwell
09 Nov 2024Motherwell2 - 1St Johnstone
31 Aug 2024St Johnstone1 - 2Motherwell
19 May 2024Motherwell1 - 2St Johnstone
27 Jan 2024St Johnstone1 - 1Motherwell
09 Dec 2023Motherwell1 - 1St Johnstone
07 Nov 2023St Johnstone2 - 2Motherwell
13 May 2023St Johnstone0 - 2Motherwell
01 Feb 2023Motherwell0 - 2St Johnstone
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.6537.7%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home2.3542.5%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%28 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away2.7336.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5428.2%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5639.1%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9152.4%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9052.6%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC