| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.8% | 57% | -2.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| logistic | 45.1% | 54.9% |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1579 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1579 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 13 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Michael Geerts | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Juan Mano, Alejandro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Ryan Nijboer | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | Francesco Forti |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |