| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 40.6% | 27% | +13.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.6% | 76% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.5% | 38% | +14.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 60% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 59.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 32.7% | 30.3% |
| xgboost | 32.9% | 29.1% | 38.0% |
| logistic | 36.3% | 28.0% | 35.7% |
| Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1640 | 1584 |
| Surface Elo | 1640 | 1584 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Partick | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Partick | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Raith Rovers FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Raith Rvs | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Queens Park | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Queens Park | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Partick | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Partick | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 0 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |