| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 56% | -3.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.3% | 50.6% |
| logistic | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Jay Clarke | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1544 | 1559 |
| Surface Elo | 1544 | 1559 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 0.56 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Yannik Kelm | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Nagoudi, Adam | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.97 | 50.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.78 | 56.2% | 11 Nov 06:15 |