| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 84.5% | 91% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 87.3% | 12.7% |
| logistic | 78.7% | 21.3% |
| Iva Jovic | Harriet Dart | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1836 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1836 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Harriet Dart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Peyton Stearns | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Qu, Yihan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Yihan Qu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Peyton Stearns | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Harriet Dart | 1 - 2 | Iva Jovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.40 | 11.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.09 | 91.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |