| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.5% | 54% | +10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Sonay Kartal | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1673 | 1594 |
| Surface Elo | 1673 | 1594 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Alina Charaeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Mar | A | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Tatiana Prozorova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Joanna Garland | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Donna Vekic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Tatiana Prozorova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 0 | Xinyu Wang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |