| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.5% | 32% | +10.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 79% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 52.8% | 45% | +7.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 55% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.5% | 30.7% | 35.8% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 25.0% | 36.8% |
| logistic | 38.2% | 28.7% | 33.1% |
| Tenerife | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1418 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1418 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 4 D |
| 21 Oct | H | UD Villa Santa Brigida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | CP Mijas-Las Lagunas | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Girona | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Castellon | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Castellon | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mallorca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mallorca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Valladolid | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Tenerife | 4 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 26 Nov 2022 | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | Tenerife |
| 02 Jan 2022 | Tenerife | 0 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Las Palmas | 2 - 1 | Tenerife |
| 28 Mar 2021 | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 15 Nov 2020 | Las Palmas | 1 - 0 | Tenerife |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Las Palmas | 0 - 0 | Tenerife |
| 07 Sep 2019 | Tenerife | 0 - 0 | Las Palmas |
| 04 May 2019 | Tenerife | 2 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 16 Dec 2018 | Las Palmas | 1 - 1 | Tenerife |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.86 | 53.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |