OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-11
🎾 ATP Stockholm, Sweden Men Singles · Wednesday 11 November 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Lorenzo Sonego 1.80 1 - 2 0.00 Alejandro Tabilo
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 67.2%61%+6.6%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov46.0%54.0%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost72.0%27.8%
logistic68.9%31.1%
Inputs the models saw
Lorenzo SonegoAlejandro Tabilo
Elo (pre-match)17661770
Surface Elo17661770
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.00
Form trend-0.900.00
Season points per game1.910.50
Season goals for / game1.360.67
Season goals against / game1.001.67
Rest days19
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W1 W · 0 D
Lorenzo Sonego: last 5
10 NovHQuentin Halys2 - 0W
08 NovAInaki Montes De La Torre2 - 0W
07 NovAOlle Wallin2 - 0W
02 NovAMattia Bellucci0 - 2L
02 NovHMattia Bellucci0 - 2L
Alejandro Tabilo: last 5
02 NovHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
02 NovHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
27 OctHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
27 OctHRafael Jodar0 - 2L
10 OctHPablo Carreno Busta1 - 2L
Head to head
05 Aug 2024Alejandro Tabilo2 - 0Lorenzo Sonego
22 Aug 2022Alejandro Tabilo0 - 2Lorenzo Sonego
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.3043.5%11 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6560.6%11 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC