| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 79.8% | 96% | -16.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 6.8% | 93.2% |
| logistic | 24.2% | 75.8% |
| Robin Catry | Dino Prizmic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1807 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1807 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Norbert Gombos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Gabriel Gomez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.04 | 96.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 9.20 | 10.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |