OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scotland League 2 · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Stirling 0.80 2 - 1 1.20 Kelty Hearts
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.4%41%+6.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.1%81%-5.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.6%55%+4.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.7%45%+6.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.3%25.2%31.5%
xgboost35.1%28.6%36.3%
logistic32.9%28.6%38.5%
Inputs the models saw
StirlingKelty Hearts
Elo (pre-match)13081381
Surface Elo13081381
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.20
Form trend-0.70-0.30
Season points per game2.001.50
Season goals for / game1.001.50
Season goals against / game0.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 2 D
Stirling: last 5
03 OctAAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
03 OctAAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
22 SepHCumbernauld Colts FC1 - 1D
19 SepHClyde1 - 1D
19 SepHClyde1 - 1D
Kelty Hearts: last 5
03 OctASpartans2 - 0W
03 OctASpartans2 - 0W
26 SepHMontrose2 - 1W
22 SepHHeart of Midlothian FC3 - 5L
19 SepHEdinburgh City1 - 3L
Head to head
08 Aug 2026Kelty Hearts3 - 2Stirling
13 Apr 2024Kelty Hearts1 - 0Stirling
27 Jan 2024Stirling5 - 0Kelty Hearts
28 Oct 2023Kelty Hearts1 - 0Stirling
26 Aug 2023Stirling1 - 0Kelty Hearts
09 Apr 2022Kelty Hearts1 - 1Stirling
08 Jan 2022Stirling0 - 3Kelty Hearts
30 Oct 2021Kelty Hearts1 - 1Stirling
07 Aug 2021Stirling1 - 3Kelty Hearts
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6062.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC