| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 54% | +1.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| logistic | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Antonia Ruzic | Kayla Day | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Paula Badosa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Katie Boulter | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Kayla Day | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Paula Badosa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Bianca Andreescu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sofia Kenin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Amelie Van Impe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Preston, Janae | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Antonia Ruzic | 1 - 0 | Kayla Day |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.99 | 50.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 21 Oct 06:15 |