| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 71% | -14.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.9% | 91% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 74.5% | 87% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% | 78% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 73.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 68.8% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| xgboost | 51.8% | 18.9% | 29.3% |
| logistic | 60.1% | 23.2% | 16.7% |
| East Kilbride | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1365 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1365 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Airdrieonians FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Stranraer | 3 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Stirling | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Stirling | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Spartans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Montrose | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.75 | 17.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.20 | 19.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.28 | 78.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |