| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.6% | 81% | -11.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.0% | 20.9% |
| logistic | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Daniel Michalski | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1436 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1436 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Alessandro Bellifemine | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Lorenzo Bocchi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Crisostomo, G | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Marco Furlanetto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Giuseppe La Vela | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Giuseppe La Vela | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |