OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-10

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Saturday 10 October 2026, 07:50 UTC · scheduled

Ignacio Buse 1.80 07:50 1.80 Zizou Bergs

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	53.9%	63%	-9.4%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	37.7%	62.2%
logistic	54.8%	45.2%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Ignacio Buse	Zizou Bergs
Elo (pre-match)	1848	1805
Surface Elo	1848	1805
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	0.90	0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	9	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Ignacio Buse: last 5

10 Oct	H	Zizou Bergs	0 - 2	L
01 Oct	H	Quentin Halys	0 - 2	L
01 Oct	H	Quentin Halys	0 - 2	L
03 Sep	A	Benjamin Bonzi	0 - 3	L
02 Sep	H	Marcos Giron	3 - 2	W

Zizou Bergs: last 5

10 Oct	A	Ignacio Buse	2 - 0	W
08 Oct	A	Vit Kopriva	2 - 0	W
08 Oct	A	Vit Kopriva	2 - 0	W
30 Sep	A	Jiri Lehecka	1 - 2	L
30 Sep	A	Jiri Lehecka	1 - 2	L

Head to head

10 Oct 2026

Ignacio Buse

0 - 2

Zizou Bergs

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.49	40.2%	10 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.56	64.1%	10 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.38	42.0%	10 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.57	63.7%	10 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.45	40.8%	10 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.57	63.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.52	39.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.64	61.0%	10 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Ignacio Buse	2.58	38.8%	10 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Zizou Bergs	1.65	60.6%	10 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.47	40.5%	10 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.59	62.9%	10 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.42	41.3%	10 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.57	63.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.45	40.8%	10 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.56	64.1%	10 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.51	39.8%	10 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.54	64.9%	10 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.48	40.3%	10 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.54	64.9%	10 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.52	39.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.64	61.0%	10 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Ignacio Buse	2.58	38.8%	10 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Zizou Bergs	1.65	60.6%	10 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.42	41.3%	10 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.57	63.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.52	39.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.58	63.3%	10 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.38	42.0%	10 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.47	68.0%	10 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.58	63.3%	10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	2.45	40.8%	10 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.35	42.5%	10 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.52	65.8%	10 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.35	42.5%	10 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.50	66.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.48	40.3%	10 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.54	64.9%	10 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.48	40.3%	10 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.54	64.9%	10 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.38	42.0%	10 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.57	63.7%	10 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.50	40.0%	10 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.56	64.1%	10 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Ignacio Buse	2.45	40.8%	10 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Zizou Bergs	1.54	64.9%	10 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC