| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.1% | 50% | +6.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| logistic | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Valentin Royer | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1728 | 1759 |
| Surface Elo | 1728 | 1759 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Valentin Royer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Yibing Wu | 0 - 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Jesper De Jong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Aug | H | Jaime Faria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Adam Walton | 0 - 2 | Valentin Royer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 23 Sep 06:15 |