| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 40.0% | 40% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.0% | 75% | +1.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 52.0% | 55% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 53% | +2.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.8% | 25.2% | 42.1% |
| xgboost | 38.5% | 22.1% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 41.3% | 26.1% | 32.6% |
| Brest | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1748 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1748 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Lorient | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Nice | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Nice | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Nov | A | Sociedad | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Angers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Angers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Paris Saint Germain | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2 - 1 | Brest |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Brest | 0 - 0 | Lyon |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Lyon | 2 - 1 | Brest |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Brest | 2 - 1 | Lyon |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Lyon | 4 - 3 | Brest |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Brest | 1 - 0 | Lyon |
| 01 Feb 2023 | Lyon | 0 - 0 | Brest |
| 28 Dec 2022 | Brest | 2 - 4 | Lyon |
| 20 Apr 2022 | Brest | 2 - 1 | Lyon |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Lyon | 1 - 1 | Brest |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.51 | 39.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.55 | 28.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.86 | 35.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |