| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.9% | 92% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 80.4% | 19.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 96.3% | 3.7% |
| logistic | 85.4% | 14.6% |
| Alexander Zverev | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2156 | 1715 |
| Surface Elo | 2156 | 1715 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Alex De Minaur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Stan Wawrinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Stan Wawrinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Liam Draxl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Ilia Simakin | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.10 | 12.3% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.09 | 91.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |